Air Force Falcons
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | −9.7 | #99 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | −4.4 | #97 |
| Passing Offense | Liam Szarka (−0.8 VOR) | −5.2 | #132 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | −0.5 | #82 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | +1.3 | #42 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | −5.6 | #107 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | −1.8 | #97 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | −2.3 | #105 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | −1.5 | #126 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | +0.3 | #59 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | −13.1 | #120 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | +3.5 | #37 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | −13.0 | #127 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsDuquesne | W (+34) | 34‑0 | Final |
| 2 | L (−6) | 32‑38 | Final | |
| 4 | W (+3) | 36‑33 | Final | |
| 5 | vsNavy | W (+5) | 14‑9 | Final |
| 6 | W (+21) | 28‑7 | Final | |
| 7 | vsUNLV | W (+10) | 41‑31 | Final |
| 8 | L (−14) | 14‑28 | Final | |
| 9 | vsUConn | W (+9) | 35‑26 | Final |
| 10 | @Army | W (+3) | 24‑21 | Final |
| 11 | AF -3.8 | 28.4‑24.6 | 59.9% | |
| 12 | vsUTEP | AF -15.1 | 35.0‑19.9 | 83.1% |
| 13 | UNM -13.3 | 19.0‑32.3 | 19.7% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #111 | 0‑0 | −11.0 | −7.0 | −4.0 | −11.0 |
| 2025 Postseason | #121 | 4‑8 | −15.8 | −6.4 | −9.5 | −11.0 |
| 2026 Preseason | #120 | 0‑0 | −13.1 | −5.0 | −8.2 | −13.1 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #99 | 7‑2 | −9.7 | −4.4 | −5.6 | −13.1 |