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#1 Georgia (8–1)
#2 Notre Dame (8–1)
#3 Ohio State (6–3)
#4 Alabama (7–2)
#5 Texas (7–2)
#6 Miami (8–1)
#7 Oregon (6–3)
#8 LSU (6–3)
#9 BYU (7–2)
#10 Tennessee (7–2)
#11 Indiana (8–1)
#12 Utah (9–0)
#13 Ole Miss (6–3)
#14 Iowa (7–2)
#15 USC (7–2)
#16 UCLA (9–0)
#17 Texas Tech (8–1)
#18 Wake Forest (8–1)
#19 Louisville (6–3)
#20 Oklahoma (5–4)
#21 Missouri (6–3)
#22 South Carolina (6–3)
#23 Texas A&M (4–5)
#24 Arizona (7–2)
#25 Florida (5–4)
#26 Houston (7–2)
#27 Baylor (6–3)
#28 SMU (7–2)
#29 Nebraska (5–4)
#30 Duke (7–2)
#31 Kentucky (7–2)
#32 Wisconsin (6–3)
#33 Auburn (5–4)
#34 Pittsburgh (6–3)
#35 Washington (5–4)
#36 Illinois (6–3)
#37 Michigan (5–4)
#38 Penn State (5–4)
#39 Vanderbilt (4–5)
#40 Oklahoma State (6–3)
#41 North Carolina (5–4)
#42 Clemson (6–3)
#43 TCU (4–5)
#44 Florida State (4–5)
#45 UCF (5–4)
#46 Minnesota (5–4)
#47 Northwestern (6–3)
#48 Kansas (3–6)
#49 Iowa State (4–5)
#50 Arizona State (5–4)
#51 Cincinnati (5–4)
#52 North Texas (7–2)
#53 Texas State (5–4)
#54 Mississippi State (4–5)
#55 James Madison (8–2)
#56 Michigan State (3–6)
#57 Virginia Tech (6–3)
#58 Purdue (3–6)
#59 Maryland (3–6)
#60 Boise State (8–1)
#61 Arkansas (3–6)
#62 Syracuse (4–5)
#63 Kansas State (4–5)
#64 Virginia (4–5)
#65 New Mexico (8–1)
#66 West Virginia (5–4)
#67 Colorado (3–6)
#68 NC State (4–5)
#69 Georgia Tech (2–7)
#70 Memphis (7–2)
#71 Liberty (8–1)
#72 UTSA (7–2)
#73 Oregon State (5–4)
#74 Boston College (4–5)
#75 South Florida (6–3)
#76 Rutgers (2–7)
#77 North Dakota State (7–2)
#78 Jacksonville State (7–2)
#79 Georgia Southern (5–4)
#80 UConn (4–5)
#81 Utah State (4–5)
#82 Toledo (7–2)
#83 Fresno State (5–4)
#84 Stanford (4–5)
#85 Louisiana Tech (7–2)
#86 East Carolina (5–4)
#87 Western Michigan (6–3)
#88 Louisiana (6–3)
#89 California (3–6)
#90 Tulsa (5–4)
#91 San Diego State (4–5)
#92 Tulane (4–5)
#93 Florida Atlantic (6–3)
#94 UNLV (5–4)
#95 Ohio (7–2)
#96 Navy (3–6)
#97 Washington State (1–8)
#98 Miami (OH) (5–4)
#99 Air Force (7–2)
#100 UAB (5–4)
#101 Temple (2–7)
#102 Georgia State (5–4)
#103 Army (5–4)
#104 South Alabama (4–5)
#105 San José State (5–5)
#106 App State (5–4)
#107 Troy (4–5)
#108 Kennesaw State (3–6)
#109 Wyoming (6–3)
#110 Old Dominion (3–7)
#111 Coastal Carolina (3–6)
#112 Arkansas State (4–5)
#113 Nevada (3–6)
#114 Hawai'i (3–6)
#115 Florida International (4–5)
#116 Southern Miss (3–6)
#117 Delaware (4–5)
#118 Rice (1–8)
#119 Western Kentucky (3–6)
#120 Colorado State (3–6)
#121 Central Michigan (4–5)
#122 Middle Tennessee (5–4)
#123 Marshall (5–4)
#124 Buffalo (6–3)
#125 Missouri State (3–6)
#126 New Mexico State (3–6)
#127 Eastern Michigan (4–6)
#128 Ball State (3–6)
#129 Massachusetts (5–4)
#130 Bowling Green (2–7)
#131 Kent State (3–6)
#132 Northern Illinois (0–9)
#133 Akron (1–8)
#134 UL Monroe (2–7)
#135 UTEP (1–8)
#136 Sam Houston (1–8)
#137 Charlotte (1–8)
#138 Sacramento State (2–8)
North Dakota State Bison
#77 (−3.6 Power)
·
7‑2 (4‑2 Mountain West)
·
Proj 9.3‑2.7
·
0.9% Playoff
·
0.0% Title
·
Simulate next game →
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
Nathan Hayes (−4.5 VOR)
Preston Brown (−0.4 VOR, +4.1 Δ)
Trey Drake (−1.1 VOR, +3.4 Δ)
Replacement-Level Backup QB (−1.8 VOR, +2.7 Δ)
Unit / Component
Detail
Rating
FBS Rank
Overall Power
Offense + Defense + Special Teams
−3.6
#77
Offense
Passing + Rushing + Finishing
−5.9
#104
Passing Offense
Nathan Hayes (−4.5 VOR)
−2.4
#103
Rushing Offense
Line yards & rushing EPA
−2.5
#118
Drive Finishing
Points per red-zone trip
−0.9
#92
Defense
Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc
+1.2
#59
Pass Defense
Points prevented vs pass
+1.3
#48
Rush Defense
Points prevented vs rush
+0.0
#65
Defensive Havoc
Sacks, TFL & turnovers
−0.2
#74
Special Teams
Net kicking & return efficiency
+1.1
#31
Preseason Prior
Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach
−10.0
#103
In-Season Lift
Performance vs preseason expectation
+6.4
#13
Strength of Schedule
Full-season opponent difficulty
−14.4
#131
2026 Schedule
Model
Win Out
Chalk
Wk
Opponent
Result / Spread
Score
Win Prob
1
vs
Jacksonville State
W (+26)
33‑7
Final
1
vs
Fordham
W (+38)
38‑0
Final
2
@
Air Force
W (+6)
38‑32
Final
3
@
Sacramento State
W (+21)
31‑10
Final
5
vs
Wyoming
W (+28)
28‑0
Final
6
@
UNLV
L (−6)
7‑13
Final
7
vs
Nevada
W (+14)
31‑17
Final
8
@
New Mexico
L (−5)
16‑21
Final
9
vs
UTEP
W (+24)
31‑7
Final
11
@
Hawai'i
NDSU -7.2
26.2‑19.0
68.2%
W
L
12
vs
Northern Illinois
NDSU -20.6
34.4‑13.9
89.7%
W
L
13
@
San José State
NDSU -5.3
25.0‑19.7
63.5%
W
L
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
Snapshot
Rank
Record
Power
Off
Def
Prior
2026 Preseason
#103
0‑0
−10.0
−6.1
−3.9
−10.0
2026 Week 11
#77
7‑2
−3.6
−5.9
+1.2
−10.0
