San José State Spartans
#105 (−11.2 Power)·5‑5 (3‑3 Mountain West)·Proj 6.2‑6.8·0.0% Playoff·0.0% Title·Simulate next game →
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | −11.2 | #105 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | −6.9 | #112 |
| Passing Offense | Daniel Rolovich (−2.8 VOR) | −0.2 | #68 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | −3.3 | #129 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | −3.5 | #125 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | −4.3 | #97 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | −1.9 | #99 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | −1.6 | #93 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | −0.8 | #100 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | −0.0 | #68 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | −9.8 | #102 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −2.6 | #98 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | −10.2 | #102 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L (−16) | 26‑42 | Final | |
| 1 | W (+6) | 27‑21 | Final | |
| 2 | vs#17Cal Poly | W (+10) | 30‑20 | Final |
| 3 | L (−16) | 10‑26 | Final | |
| 5 | W (+4) | 20‑16 | Final | |
| 6 | vsWyoming | L (−3) | 13‑16 | Final |
| 7 | @UTEP | W (+13) | 24‑11 | Final |
| 8 | L (−15) | 13‑28 | Final | |
| 9 | L (−5) | 16‑21 | Final | |
| 10 | W (+11) | 30‑19 | Final | |
| 11 | AF -3.8 | 24.6‑28.4 | 40.1% | |
| 12 | vsUNLV | UNLV -2.3 | 25.5‑27.8 | 43.9% |
| 13 | NDSU -5.3 | 19.7‑25.0 | 36.5% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #79 | 0‑0 | −5.5 | −2.8 | −2.7 | −5.5 |
| 2025 Postseason | #97 | 3‑9 | −11.2 | −2.7 | −5.8 | −5.5 |
| 2026 Preseason | #102 | 0‑0 | −9.8 | −4.6 | −5.2 | −9.8 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #105 | 5‑5 | −11.2 | −6.9 | −4.3 | −9.8 |