Toledo Rockets
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | −4.3 | #82 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | −0.4 | #72 |
| Passing Offense | John Alan Richter (−4.7 VOR) | −0.6 | #75 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | +0.2 | #61 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | −0.1 | #72 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | −2.2 | #78 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | −1.7 | #94 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | −0.1 | #71 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | −0.4 | #85 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | −1.7 | #122 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | −2.4 | #74 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −1.9 | #92 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | −16.0 | #137 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L (−10) | 20‑30 | Final | |
| 2 | vsCentral Connecticut | W (+53) | 63‑10 | Final |
| 3 | vsTemple | W (+1) | 49‑48 | Final |
| 4 | W (+25) | 41‑16 | Final | |
| 5 | W (+15) | 39‑24 | Final | |
| 6 | vsBuffalo | L (−15) | 8‑23 | Final |
| 7 | W (+20) | 34‑14 | Final | |
| 8 | W (+7) | 45‑38 | Final | |
| 10 | W (+3) | 20‑17 | Final | |
| 11 | TOL -18.2 | 35.7‑17.5 | 87.2% | |
| 12 | TOL -18.6 | 35.6‑17.0 | 87.6% | |
| 13 | @Ohio | TOL -0.6 | 28.0‑27.5 | 51.5% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #86 | 0‑0 | −6.5 | −4.3 | −2.2 | −6.5 |
| 2025 Postseason | #49 | 8‑4 | +6.7 | +2.4 | +4.3 | −6.5 |
| 2026 Preseason | #74 | 0‑0 | −2.4 | −2.5 | +0.1 | −2.4 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #82 | 7‑2 | −4.3 | −0.4 | −2.2 | −2.4 |