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#1 Georgia (8–1)
#2 Notre Dame (8–1)
#3 Ohio State (6–3)
#4 Alabama (7–2)
#5 Texas (7–2)
#6 Miami (8–1)
#7 Oregon (6–3)
#8 LSU (6–3)
#9 BYU (7–2)
#10 Tennessee (7–2)
#11 Indiana (8–1)
#12 Utah (9–0)
#13 Ole Miss (6–3)
#14 Iowa (7–2)
#15 USC (7–2)
#16 UCLA (9–0)
#17 Texas Tech (8–1)
#18 Wake Forest (8–1)
#19 Louisville (6–3)
#20 Oklahoma (5–4)
#21 Missouri (6–3)
#22 South Carolina (6–3)
#23 Texas A&M (4–5)
#24 Arizona (7–2)
#25 Florida (5–4)
#26 Houston (7–2)
#27 Baylor (6–3)
#28 SMU (7–2)
#29 Nebraska (5–4)
#30 Duke (7–2)
#31 Kentucky (7–2)
#32 Wisconsin (6–3)
#33 Auburn (5–4)
#34 Pittsburgh (6–3)
#35 Washington (5–4)
#36 Illinois (6–3)
#37 Michigan (5–4)
#38 Penn State (5–4)
#39 Vanderbilt (4–5)
#40 Oklahoma State (6–3)
#41 North Carolina (5–4)
#42 Clemson (6–3)
#43 TCU (4–5)
#44 Florida State (4–5)
#45 UCF (5–4)
#46 Minnesota (5–4)
#47 Northwestern (6–3)
#48 Kansas (3–6)
#49 Iowa State (4–5)
#50 Arizona State (5–4)
#51 Cincinnati (5–4)
#52 North Texas (7–2)
#53 Texas State (5–4)
#54 Mississippi State (4–5)
#55 James Madison (8–2)
#56 Michigan State (3–6)
#57 Virginia Tech (6–3)
#58 Purdue (3–6)
#59 Maryland (3–6)
#60 Boise State (8–1)
#61 Arkansas (3–6)
#62 Syracuse (4–5)
#63 Kansas State (4–5)
#64 Virginia (4–5)
#65 New Mexico (8–1)
#66 West Virginia (5–4)
#67 Colorado (3–6)
#68 NC State (4–5)
#69 Georgia Tech (2–7)
#70 Memphis (7–2)
#71 Liberty (8–1)
#72 UTSA (7–2)
#73 Oregon State (5–4)
#74 Boston College (4–5)
#75 South Florida (6–3)
#76 Rutgers (2–7)
#77 North Dakota State (7–2)
#78 Jacksonville State (7–2)
#79 Georgia Southern (5–4)
#80 UConn (4–5)
#81 Utah State (4–5)
#82 Toledo (7–2)
#83 Fresno State (5–4)
#84 Stanford (4–5)
#85 Louisiana Tech (7–2)
#86 East Carolina (5–4)
#87 Western Michigan (6–3)
#88 Louisiana (6–3)
#89 California (3–6)
#90 Tulsa (5–4)
#91 San Diego State (4–5)
#92 Tulane (4–5)
#93 Florida Atlantic (6–3)
#94 UNLV (5–4)
#95 Ohio (7–2)
#96 Navy (3–6)
#97 Washington State (1–8)
#98 Miami (OH) (5–4)
#99 Air Force (7–2)
#100 UAB (5–4)
#101 Temple (2–7)
#102 Georgia State (5–4)
#103 Army (5–4)
#104 South Alabama (4–5)
#105 San José State (5–5)
#106 App State (5–4)
#107 Troy (4–5)
#108 Kennesaw State (3–6)
#109 Wyoming (6–3)
#110 Old Dominion (3–7)
#111 Coastal Carolina (3–6)
#112 Arkansas State (4–5)
#113 Nevada (3–6)
#114 Hawai'i (3–6)
#115 Florida International (4–5)
#116 Southern Miss (3–6)
#117 Delaware (4–5)
#118 Rice (1–8)
#119 Western Kentucky (3–6)
#120 Colorado State (3–6)
#121 Central Michigan (4–5)
#122 Middle Tennessee (5–4)
#123 Marshall (5–4)
#124 Buffalo (6–3)
#125 Missouri State (3–6)
#126 New Mexico State (3–6)
#127 Eastern Michigan (4–6)
#128 Ball State (3–6)
#129 Massachusetts (5–4)
#130 Bowling Green (2–7)
#131 Kent State (3–6)
#132 Northern Illinois (0–9)
#133 Akron (1–8)
#134 UL Monroe (2–7)
#135 UTEP (1–8)
#136 Sam Houston (1–8)
#137 Charlotte (1–8)
#138 Sacramento State (2–8)
Michigan State Spartans
#56 (+4.0 Power)
·
3‑6 (1‑5 Big Ten)
·
Proj 4.1‑7.9
·
0.0% Playoff
·
0.0% Title
·
Simulate next game →
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
Alessio Milivojevic (+0.3 VOR)
Leo Hannan (−0.2 VOR, −0.5 Δ)
Cam Fancher (−1.5 VOR, −1.7 Δ)
Kayd Coffman (+0.3 VOR, +0.0 Δ)
Jaziun Patterson (+0.5 VOR, +0.2 Δ)
Carson Gulker (+0.0 VOR, −0.3 Δ)
Omari Kelly (+1.0 VOR, +0.7 Δ)
Replacement-Level Backup QB (−1.5 VOR, −1.8 Δ)
Unit / Component
Detail
Rating
FBS Rank
Overall Power
Offense + Defense + Special Teams
+4.0
#56
Offense
Passing + Rushing + Finishing
−0.8
#75
Passing Offense
Alessio Milivojevic (+0.3 VOR)
+1.1
#59
Rushing Offense
Line yards & rushing EPA
−0.5
#84
Drive Finishing
Points per red-zone trip
−1.3
#102
Defense
Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc
+3.0
#49
Pass Defense
Points prevented vs pass
+0.9
#54
Rush Defense
Points prevented vs rush
+1.5
#43
Defensive Havoc
Sacks, TFL & turnovers
+0.7
#41
Special Teams
Net kicking & return efficiency
+1.8
#9
Preseason Prior
Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach
+2.9
#60
In-Season Lift
Performance vs preseason expectation
+1.2
#50
Strength of Schedule
Full-season opponent difficulty
+8.0
#17
2026 Schedule
Model
Win Out
Chalk
Wk
Opponent
Result / Spread
Score
Win Prob
1
vs
Toledo
W (+10)
30‑20
Final
2
vs
Eastern Michigan
W (+28)
35‑7
Final
3
@
#2
Notre Dame
L (−17)
10‑27
Final
4
vs
Nebraska
L (−18)
13‑31
Final
5
@
Wisconsin
L (−28)
3‑31
Final
6
vs
Illinois
L (−1)
37‑38
Final
7
vs
Northwestern
L (−3)
21‑24
Final
8
@
#16
UCLA
L (−18)
10‑28
Final
10
@
Michigan
W (+9)
15‑6
Final
11
vs
Washington
WASH -3.9
23.0‑26.8
40.0%
W
L
12
vs
#7
Oregon
ORE -15.9
16.5‑32.4
15.8%
W
L
13
@
Rutgers
MSU -4.6
31.5‑26.8
61.9%
W
L
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
Snapshot
Rank
Record
Power
Off
Def
Prior
2025 Preseason
#47
0‑0
+6.7
+2.7
+4.0
+6.7
2025 Postseason
#63
4‑8
+1.9
+1.6
+0.5
+6.7
2026 Preseason
#60
0‑0
+2.9
+2.0
+0.8
+2.9
2026 Week 11
#56
3‑6
+4.0
−0.8
+3.0
+2.9
