South Florida Bulls
#75 (−2.7 Power)·6‑3 (2‑3 American Athletic)·Proj 7.7‑4.3·0.0% Playoff·0.0% Title·Simulate next game →
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | −2.7 | #75 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | −2.8 | #87 |
| Passing Offense | Luke Kromenhoek (+0.1 VOR) | −1.1 | #85 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | −0.9 | #93 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | −0.8 | #89 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | −0.6 | #67 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | −0.7 | #79 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | +0.5 | #59 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | −0.4 | #82 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | +0.7 | #46 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | +1.8 | #63 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −6.1 | #118 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | −12.4 | #124 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W (+10) | 19‑9 | Final | |
| 2 | @Army | W (+4) | 28‑24 | Final |
| 3 | vsDelaware State | W (+42) | 59‑17 | Final |
| 4 | W (+8) | 14‑6 | Final | |
| 5 | vsTemple | L (−4) | 13‑17 | Final |
| 6 | @UTSA | L (−7) | 24‑31 | Final |
| 7 | W (+27) | 29‑2 | Final | |
| 9 | vsUAB | W (+20) | 30‑10 | Final |
| 10 | L (−3) | 17‑20 | Final | |
| 11 | vsMemphis | USF -0.7 | 29.7‑29.0 | 51.9% |
| 12 | USF -1.5 | 32.2‑30.7 | 53.9% | |
| 13 | vsTulane | USF -6.1 | 27.7‑21.6 | 65.4% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #83 | 0‑0 | −5.9 | −2.6 | −3.2 | −5.9 |
| 2025 Postseason | #50 | 9‑3 | +6.6 | +7.9 | +0.9 | −5.9 |
| 2026 Preseason | #63 | 0‑0 | +1.8 | +1.9 | −0.1 | +1.8 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #75 | 6‑3 | −2.7 | −2.8 | −0.6 | +1.8 |