Missouri State Bears
#125 (−16.8 Power)·3‑6 (2‑3 Conference USA)·Proj 3.9‑8.1·0.0% Playoff·0.0% Title·Simulate next game →
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | −16.8 | #125 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | −7.0 | #115 |
| Passing Offense | Henry Belin IV (−3.9 VOR) | −1.2 | #86 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | −3.0 | #127 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | −2.9 | #120 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | −9.1 | #126 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | −4.1 | #123 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | −3.3 | #121 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | −1.7 | #131 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | −0.6 | #91 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | −13.7 | #122 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −3.1 | #101 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | −10.6 | #107 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L (−50) | 0‑50 | Final | |
| 2 | vsLindenwood | W (+34) | 48‑14 | Final |
| 3 | vsMarshall | L (−6) | 24‑30 | Final |
| 4 | @SMU | L (−10) | 24‑34 | Final |
| 6 | L (−21) | 13‑34 | Final | |
| 7 | W (+3) | 24‑21 | Final | |
| 8 | L (−23) | 38‑61 | Final | |
| 9 | W (+21) | 24‑3 | Final | |
| 10 | L (−3) | 20‑23 | Final | |
| 11 | MOST -4.2 | 28.7‑24.5 | 60.8% | |
| 12 | JXST -15.3 | 21.3‑36.6 | 16.7% | |
| 13 | vsLiberty | LIB -13.3 | 21.0‑34.2 | 19.8% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #134 | 0‑0 | −19.2 | −10.7 | −8.5 | −19.2 |
| 2025 Postseason | #118 | 7‑5 | −15.4 | −6.3 | −7.2 | −19.2 |
| 2026 Preseason | #122 | 0‑0 | −13.7 | −6.4 | −7.3 | −13.7 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #125 | 3‑6 | −16.8 | −7.0 | −9.1 | −13.7 |