Texas Tech Red Raiders
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | +17.1 | #17 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | +10.0 | #12 |
| Passing Offense | Tommy Castellanos (+3.5 VOR) | +4.2 | #15 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | +3.4 | #9 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | +2.3 | #24 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | +5.9 | #29 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | +1.6 | #44 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | +2.9 | #23 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | +1.4 | #20 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | +1.2 | #27 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | +17.5 | #12 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −2.9 | #100 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | +1.6 | #61 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAbilene Christian | W (+23) | 33‑10 | Final |
| 2 | W (+11) | 35‑24 | Final | |
| 3 | vsHouston | W (+2) | 28‑26 | Final |
| 4 | W (+35) | 49‑14 | Final | |
| 5 | W (+22) | 29‑7 | Final | |
| 7 | W (+28) | 53‑25 | Final | |
| 8 | L (−13) | 24‑37 | Final | |
| 9 | W (+8) | 34‑26 | Final | |
| 10 | W (+5) | 53‑48 | Final | |
| 11 | TTU -5.9 | 36.5‑30.6 | 65.0% | |
| 12 | TTU -1.3 | 30.1‑28.8 | 53.4% | |
| 13 | vsTCU | TTU -11.3 | 31.3‑20.0 | 76.7% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #40 | 0‑0 | +8.0 | +5.6 | +2.3 | +8.0 |
| 2025 Postseason | #5 | 12‑1 | +25.2 | +10.5 | +12.1 | +8.0 |
| 2026 Preseason | #12 | 0‑0 | +17.5 | +7.9 | +9.6 | +17.5 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #17 | 8‑1 | +17.1 | +10.0 | +5.9 | +17.5 |