Penn State Nittany Lions
Ratings & Unit Splits
Starting QB:
| Unit / Component | Detail | Rating | FBS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Power | Offense + Defense + Special Teams | +9.2 | #38 |
| Offense | Passing + Rushing + Finishing | +4.4 | #40 |
| Passing Offense | Rocco Becht (+1.1 VOR) | +3.0 | #24 |
| Rushing Offense | Line yards & rushing EPA | +0.0 | #67 |
| Drive Finishing | Points per red-zone trip | +1.5 | #37 |
| Defense | Pass Def + Rush Def + Havoc | +6.7 | #24 |
| Pass Defense | Points prevented vs pass | +5.8 | #5 |
| Rush Defense | Points prevented vs rush | −0.2 | #73 |
| Defensive Havoc | Sacks, TFL & turnovers | +1.0 | #29 |
| Special Teams | Net kicking & return efficiency | −2.0 | #132 |
| Preseason Prior | Talent, returning PPA, portal & coach | +11.3 | #26 |
| In-Season Lift | Performance vs preseason expectation | −2.1 | #93 |
| Strength of Schedule | Full-season opponent difficulty | +1.6 | #60 |
2026 Schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Result / Spread | Score | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMarshall | W (+45) | 45‑0 | Final |
| 2 | W (+18) | 27‑9 | Final | |
| 3 | vsBuffalo | W (+42) | 55‑13 | Final |
| 4 | L (−4) | 20‑24 | Final | |
| 5 | L (−21) | 13‑34 | Final | |
| 6 | L (−8) | 23‑31 | Final | |
| 7 | L (−3) | 18‑21 | Final | |
| 9 | vsPurdue | W (+14) | 31‑17 | Final |
| 10 | W (+3) | 28‑25 | Final | |
| 11 | PSU -5.2 | 26.3‑21.1 | 63.4% | |
| 12 | vsRutgers | PSU -14.4 | 37.1‑22.7 | 82.0% |
| 13 | PSU -3.7 | 27.9‑24.2 | 59.6% |
Snapshot History (2025–2026)
| Snapshot | Rank | Record | Power | Off | Def | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Preseason | #2 | 0‑0 | +21.7 | +10.7 | +11.0 | +21.7 |
| 2025 Postseason | #18 | 6‑6 | +16.5 | +7.8 | +8.0 | +21.7 |
| 2026 Preseason | #26 | 0‑0 | +11.3 | +5.7 | +5.5 | +11.3 |
| 2026 Week 11 | #38 | 5‑4 | +9.2 | +4.4 | +6.7 | +11.3 |